Opposition on the Rebound: Will 2025 Forge New Alliances for 2027?
By Dooyum Naadzenga
As Nigerians welcome the New Year, political analysts anticipate an increase in political activity leading up to the 2027 general election. The results of the 2023 presidential election, in which Bola Tinubu of the All Progressives Congress (APC) emerged victorious, highlighted the performance of the main opposition parties: Alhaji Atiku Abubakar of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), Mr. Peter Obi of the Labour Party, and Senator Rabiu Kwankwaso of the New Nigeria Peoples Party (NNPP).
In the wake of their collective defeat, opposition leaders have begun consultations aimed at mounting a stronger challenge against Tinubu in 2027. Salihu Lukman, a former National Vice Chairman of the APC, confirmed these efforts, emphasizing the need for a competitive political culture that transcends personal ambitions.
The PDP faces uncertainty as it grapples with internal conflicts that could jeopardize its ability to present a united front. Despite Atiku’s continued ambition for the presidency, he will likely face challenges from other party members, including Oyo State Governor Seyi Makinde and the influential Chief Nyesom Wike, who has pledged support for Tinubu’s re-election.
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Kola Ologbondiyan, a former PDP spokesperson, remains optimistic about the PDP’s chances, citing its strong grassroots support and experienced leadership. However, the party must navigate its internal strife and plan strategically to improve its prospects for 2027.
The Labour Party is also contending with a leadership crisis. While the Julius Abure-led National Working Committee retains INEC recognition, key stakeholders, including Peter Obi and Governor Alex Otti, question his leadership. Despite setbacks, the party aims to rebuild and surpass its previous electoral achievements.
Kwankwaso leads the NNPP, which boasts a limited number of elected officials. He faces challenges in maintaining party cohesion amid potential defections to the APC. Speculation about a possible alliance with Peter Obi is emerging, with Kwankwaso expressing willingness to serve as Obi’s running mate under certain conditions. Their previous discussions about a merger prior to the 2023 elections failed to materialize, but the dynamics of 2027 may differ.
Political scientist Dr. Joseph Anuga suggests that an alliance between Kwankwaso and Obi could enhance their chances, though the unpredictable nature of Nigerian politics complicates predictions. Obi has been cautious about the merger discussions, emphasizing national unity over political maneuvering.
Tinubu’s mastery of the political landscape, bolstered by the power of incumbency, poses a formidable challenge for the opposition. His loyalists currently dominate the National Assembly and other state institutions, with former governors rewarded with key ministerial positions to ensure support for his administration.
While the road to the 2027 election remains uncertain, the potential collaboration between Kwankwaso and Obi could significantly alter the political landscape, making it a development to monitor closely.
