NMDPRA: Dangote Refinery Missed November Supply Target, Averaged 23.5m Litres Daily

The Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA) has revealed that the Dangote Petroleum Refinery failed to meet its projected petrol supply target for November 2025, necessitating a continued reliance on imports to meet national demand.

In its latest industry fact sheet released on Sunday, the regulator disclosed that the refinery supplied an average of 23.52 million litres of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) daily during the month.

This figure fell short of the 35 million litres per day the refinery had projected for the period, although it represented an improvement over the 18.03 million litres supplied daily in October.

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To bridge the supply gap and ensure energy security ahead of the end-of-year festivities, the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPC) was forced to ramp up importation.

The data showed that the total daily supply surged to roughly 71 million litres in November, with imported petrol accounting for a massive 52.1 million litres of that daily total. Local refineries contributed approximately 19.5 million litres to the daily aggregate.

The regulator explained that the significant rise in imports was a strategic intervention to build national inventory following low supply levels recorded in September and October.

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Interestingly, while supply increased to bolster stockpiles, actual consumption by Nigerians dropped during the period.

The report highlighted that average daily petrol consumption fell to 52.9 million litres in November, a decline from the 56.7 million litres recorded in the previous month.

This latest data is likely to intensify the ongoing debate regarding the refinery’s current operational capacity.

While the Dangote Group has consistently maintained that it can meet 100 percent of Nigeria’s domestic requirement and recently pledged to supply 50 million litres daily for December and January, the NMDPRA’s figures suggest that the country remained heavily dependent on foreign fuel in November to keep the economy running.